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HPU Poll: NC Residents Are Split on Trump’s Plans and Expect Continuing Partisan Fights

(Last Updated On: November 21, 2016)

hpu-poll-trump-plans-policies-nov-2016

HIGH POINT, N.C., Nov. 21, 2016 – A new post-election HPU Poll shows that North Carolina residents are divided in their reaction to President-elect Donald Trump and his policies. A majority of North Carolinians predict Trump will successfully get his plans passed into law, but they disagree about whether they support those proposals.

Forty-four percent of North Carolina residents said that they were happy that Donald Trump will be the President of the United States, whereas 38 percent said they were unhappy and 18 percent did not offer an opinion one way or another. As a comparison, a narrow majority of 52 percent of the poll’s respondents said that they were happy that the Republican Party would control the U.S. Senate in January.

Forty-seven percent of North Carolinians said they approve of Donald Trump’s policies and plans for the future, and a majority of 62 percent of those same respondents said they think Donald Trump will be successful in getting his programs passed into law.

“The message from these numbers is that a majority of North Carolinians see some momentum for Donald Trump’s agenda even if they are split on whether they are happy or unhappy about his election,” said Brian McDonald, associate director of the HPU Poll and adjunct instructor.

Many people have noted the negativity of recent elections, including this year’s election, and see the division between parties continuing into the future. A large majority (85 percent) of North Carolinians said that compared to past elections, there was more mud-slinging and negative campaigning. Looking ahead, about a third (34 percent) of respondents said that they think the 2020 presidential election will have more negative campaigning, while 39 percent said they think the next presidential election will be less negative.

There was not much more optimism about how people in the country as a whole feel right now and the prospects for Republicans and Democrats working together in Washington. Seventy-two percent of North Carolinians said that the American people are more divided after the 2016 elections. Thirty-six percent of the poll’s respondents said they expected relations between Republicans and Democrats in Washington to get worse, which was approximately equal to the percentage who said they expected relations to stay about the same.

“The vast majority of people we interviewed agreed that this election cycle included more negative campaigning than usual, but you do not have a similar consensus that it will get any better,” said Martin Kifer, director of the HPU Poll and associate professor of political science. “If they believe it is important to unify the country and the state, leaders have some work to do in showing they can treat each other with civility and bring people together to get things done.”

All adults – Mudslinging in 2016 Elections (November 2016)

Compared to past elections, would you say there was MORE mud-slinging or negative campaigning or LESS mud-slinging or negative campaigning?

More – 85 percent

Less – 5 percent

Same – 8 percent

Don’t know/refused – 2 percent

(All adult (North Carolina residents) sample surveyed November 12-17, n = 481 and margin of sampling error approximately = +/- 4.5 percent)

 All adults – Mudslinging in 2020 presidential election (November 2016)

Do you think that the presidential election in 2020 will have MORE mud-slinging or negative campaigning than this election or will there be LESS mud-slinging and negative campaigning?

More – 34 percent

Less – 39 percent

Same – 9 percent

Don’t know/refused – 17 percent

(All adult (North Carolina residents) sample surveyed November 12-17, n = 481 and margin of sampling error approximately = +/- 4.5 percent)

hpu-poll-trump-as-president-elect-nov-2016All adults – Happy or Unhappy about Trump election (November 2016)

Are you happy or unhappy that DONALD TRUMP will be President of the United States?

Happy – 44 percent

Unhappy – 38 percent

Don’t know/refused – 18 percent

(All adult (North Carolina residents) sample surveyed November 12-17, n = 481 and margin of sampling error approximately = +/- 4.5 percent)

All adults – Happy or Unhappy about Republican control of the Senate (November 2016)

Are you happy or unhappy that in January of next year the REPUBLICAN party will have control of the U.S. Senate?

Happy – 52 percent

Unhappy – 40 percent

Don’t know/refused – 9 percent

(All adult (North Carolina residents) sample surveyed November 12-17, n = 481 and margin of sampling error approximately = +/- 4.5 percent)

All adults – Approve or Disapprove of President-elect Trump’s plans (November 2016)

As best you can tell, do you approve or disapprove of DONALD TRUMP’s policies and plans for the future?

Approve – 47 percent

Disapprove – 37 percent

Don’t know/refused – 16 percent

(All adult (North Carolina residents) sample surveyed November 12-17, n = 481 and margin of sampling error approximately = +/- 4.5 percent)

All adults – Predicting President-elect Trump’s Success or Failure (November 2016)

Generally, do you think DONALD TRUMP will be successful or unsuccessful in getting his programs passed into law?

Successful – 62 percent

Unsuccessful – 28 percent

Don’t know/refused – 10 percent

(All adult (North Carolina residents) sample surveyed November 12-17, n = 481 and margin of sampling error approximately = +/- 4.5 percent)

All adults – Relations between Republicans and Democrats in Washington (November 2016)

Do you think relations between Republicans and Democrats in Washington will get better in the coming year, get worse, or stay the same as they are now?

Get better – 24 percent

Get worse – 36 percent

Stay about the same – 37 percent

Don’t know/refused – 3 percent

(All adult (North Carolina residents) sample surveyed November 12-17, n = 481 and margin of sampling error approximately = +/- 4.5 percent)

All adults – American People United or Divided (November 2016)

Now, thinking about the American people as a whole after the 2016 elections, do you think that people in the U.S. are more united, more divided, or not much different than usual?

More united – 6 percent

More divided – 72 percent

Not much different than usual – 21 percent

Don’t know/refused – 2 percent

 (All adult (North Carolina residents) sample surveyed November 12-17, n = 481 and margin of sampling error approximately = +/- 4.5 percent)

 The most recent HPU Poll was fielded by live interviewers at the High Point University Survey Research Center calling on Nov. 12-17, 2016. The responses from a sample of all North Carolina counties came from 481 adults with landline or cellular telephones. The Survey Research Center contracted with Survey Sampling International to acquire this sample. The survey has an estimated margin of sampling error of approximately 4.5 percentage points for all adult respondents. That margin of error is 4.8 percentage points for the sample of respondents who said they voted on Nov. 8, 2016. The data is weighted toward population estimates for cellular and landline telephone use, age, gender and race. In addition to sampling error, factors such as question wording and other methodological choices in conducting survey research can introduce additional error into the findings of opinion polls. Details from this survey are available at http://www.highpoint.edu/src/files/2016/11/49memoA.pdf.

 Further results and methodological details from the most recent survey and past studies can be found at the Survey Research Center website at http://www.highpoint.edu/src/. The materials online include past press releases as well as memos summarizing the findings (including approval ratings) for each poll since 2010.

The HPU Poll reports methodological details in accordance with the standards set out by AAPOR’s Transparency Initiative, and the HPU Survey Research Center is a Charter Member of the Initiative. For more information, see http://transparency.aapor.org/index.php/transparency.

 You can follow the HPU Poll on Twitter at https://twitter.com/HPUSurveyCenter. Dr. Martin Kifer, associate professor of political science, serves as the director of the HPU Poll, and Brian McDonald serves as the associate director of the HPU Poll.

 At High Point University, every student receives an extraordinary education in an inspiring environment with caring people.® HPU, located in the Piedmont Triad region of North Carolina, is a liberal arts institution with more than 4,800 undergraduate and graduate students. It is ranked No. 1 by U.S. News and World Report for Best Regional Colleges in the South and No. 1 for Most Innovative Regional Colleges in the South. HPU was named the No. 4 private school in N.C. for the best return on investment, and it is a 2016-2017 College of Distinction. The university offers 48 undergraduate majors, 51 undergraduate minors and 13 graduate degree programs. It is a member of the NCAA, Division I and the Big South Conference. Visit High Point University on the Web at highpoint.edu.

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